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Threats brainstorm: assessing risk, threats, vulnerabilites, capacities
Exercise
Threats brainstorm: assessing risk, threats, vulnerabilites, capacities
Summary
This provides an introduction to and an explanation of the following group exercise.
Format
Group exercise review
Required materials
Flipchart with definitions of ‘capacity’, ‘risk’, ‘threat’ and ‘vulnerability’ as well as the risk assessment formula.
Key explanation points
Facilitators select two key threats from the group (either raised in previous discussions or during the discussion after the threats presentation). These are the ‘what’. Write them up on the flipchart. Ensure that one threat is a traditional ‘public’ threat and that the other is a ‘private’ threat.
Then, as an example for the following exercise, facilitators should ask the group to analyse:
- who are the sources of the threat; and
- the ‘why’ – what is behind the threat.
Next, ask the group to list the:
- capacities to address the threat; and
- vulnerabilities to the threat.
Ask the group to assess the level of risk that these threats pose, given their list of capacities and vulnerabilities. They can refer to the Threshold of acceptable risk handout.1
Alternative options
In addition to these questions, ask the group to describe the potential impact/consequences of the threat – that is, if the threat is realised, what will happen in the ‘public’ sphere and the ‘private’ sphere?
Example structure
Threat | Who? | Why? | Capacities | Vulnerabilities | Risk level |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Graffiti on the wall next to the house of a woman human right defender, denouncing her as a western spy or saying she is rich | Local criminal groups, probably encouraged and paid by the government | To decredit her, ruin her reputation in the community | Access to media, international support | Neighbours already uncomfortable, family is nervous | Moderate |
Harassment as a checkpoint that she has to cross every week to get to villages | Soldiers | To intimidate her, extort money | Good reputation and support from villagers | Often travelling alone, transport is unreliable | High |
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